Sustainable Electricity Generation: Between Gas & Renewables
Old Arts Building
University of Melbourne Parkville 3010
Please note that due to overwhelming demand the venue for this event has changed to Theatre D in the Old Arts Building, a map can be found here.
In order to face climate change and energy security problems, many countries are currently beginning a process of energy transition from non renewable to renewable energy sources. The most famous example of energy transition is represented by Germany with the so called Energiewende, a process that expects to reach by 2020 the complete nuclear phase out and 35% of electricity provision by renewable sources (mainly wind and solar). Of all the countries that are dealing with this electricity regime transformation, an interesting case is represented by Australia, where it is expected that green policies will lead in the near future to an increasing share of renewables in the energy mix, mainly in the form of wind and solar.
Social acceptance, community involvement and adequate incentive measures are essential elements for making renewables a competitive solution with respect to fossil fuels and ensure their integration into the existing energy system. The need to integrate renewables into existing energy systems represents one of the crucial challenges of the energy transition. In order to investigate such integration process, we analyze the temporal dynamics of substitution between non renewable and renewable energy sources by applying multivariate innovation diffusion models, allowing to describe simultaneously time series of consumption of energy sources (gas, wind and solar) and estimate how competition between these affects the evolution of each source of energy.
About the Speaker:
Mariangela Guidolin, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in Economic Statistics at the University of Padua, Department of Statistical Sciences, Italy. Born in 1978, she has had research experiences at University of Padua and University of Venice, Ca′ Foscari. Her current research interests include innovation diffusion models, technological forecasting, emerging energy trends.