View the recording: MEI public lecture - Power system planning under multi-scale climate-induced uncertainty

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About

The Melbourne Energy Institute hosted a public lecture by Assistant Professor Ángela Flores of the University of Chile, who discussed how power systems are facing increasing pressure from climate change.

The rise in global temperatures, more variable precipitation patterns, and the increase in frequency and severity of extreme weather events pose substantial risks for power systems across multiple time scales.

In this talk, a comprehensive power system planning model was introduced to anticipate both short and long-term uncertainties by leveraging multi-scale stochastic programming. A novel approach was then presented for constructing multi-scale scenario trees to represent climate-induced uncertainty, using historical weather data and future climate projections. Finally, suitable decomposition methods for capacity planning under uncertainty and possible enhancements were explored.

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Speaker

Assistant Professor Ángela Flores
Assistant Professor
Department of Electrical Engineering, Faculty of Physical and Mathematical Sciences
University of Chile

Ángela Flores is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Electrical Engineering at the Faculty of Physical and Mathematical Sciences of the University of Chile, and an Associate Researcher at the Institute of Complex Engineering Systems. Her research focuses on developing optimization models under uncertainty for the resilient planning of energy systems in the context of climate change and decarbonization.

Moderator

Professor Pierluigi Mancarella
Chair Professor of Electrical Power Systems
Energy Systems Program Leader, Melbourne Energy Institute

University of Melbourne

Pierluigi Mancarella obtained his PhD degree in Power Systems from the Politecnico di Torino, Italy, did his post-doc at Imperial College London, UK, and has held visiting research positions at Sintef/NTNU in Norway and NREL in Colorado, as well as visiting professorships at Ecole Centrale de Lille in France, the Universidad de Chile, and Tsinghua University in China.

Pierluigi has been involved in/led, in the last 15 years, some 50 research projects and consultancy and professional activities in the UK, Australia, and internationally, in the area of grid integration of renewables and distributed energy resources, techno-economic modelling of low-carbon power systems, business cases for smart grid technologies, reliability and resilience assessment of future networks, multi-energy systems and sector coupling, and energy infrastructure investment under uncertainty. Pierluigi is author of several books and book chapters, and of over 200 research papers. He is an Editor of the IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, IEEE Systems Journal, and the brand-new Oxford Open Energy journal. Pierluigi is also an IEEE Power and Energy Society Distinguished Lecturer, the first Chair of the Energy Working Group of the IEEE European Public Policy Initiative, and the Convenor of the Cigre Working Group C6/C2.34 "Flexibility provision from DER". He led the power system security assessment studies commissioned by the "Finkel Review" panel and actively collaborates as a researcher and consultant for industry and government bodies, including AEMO, AEMC and AER.